Tuesday, April 21st 2026

SOCIOPOLITICAL MANAGEMENT AND MEDIA SPINS OF PRESIDENTIAL HEALTH STATUS – Matters Arising from Absenteeism Ayokunle FAGBEMI, Political Scientist, Peace and Security Scholar and Public Affairs Analyst


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The visit of the Presidential Media Team to Abuja House in London on Saturday, August 12, 2017 is

Instructive. It confirmed the existence of the “PMB Presidential Personality Cult (PMB-PPC) [a.k.a

The Cabal]”! The circulated footage of the visit showing the interactions of the incumbent President

Muhammadu Buhari with Hon. Minister Lai Mohammed, Special Adviser Femi Adesina and Shehu

Garba, Hon. Abike Dabiri-Erewa with Laureta underscore the point that hitherto the cabal might have been responsible for the sociopolitical management and media spins adopted by them without proper authorization from PMB. Femi Adesina’s following-up interview performance and featuring on Channels TV program Politics Today anchored by Seun Okinbaloye has further reinforced the existence of a Cabal being in-charge. Thus, it is clear that the Cabal is responsible for the dynamics of directing all issues pertaining to the now controversial handling of PMB’s health challenges and medical leave by The Presidency and the ruling All Progressives Council (APC). The Cabal adopted style, orientation, approach and methodology have continued to generate wide range of commentaries, controversies and recently protest marches, if not clampdown on those considered belligerent by security and law enforcement.

The protracted absence of PMB from Nigeria on Medical Leave has become epochal in nature! PMB within a lunar calendar year has now spent over 160days outside the shores of the country the citizenry elected him to govern! On a given stretch he is the first serving President of any country globally that has spent over 100days and still counting away from office on medical leave with all attendant perquisites of office with attendant costs. This is the first time any Vice-President worldwide would be serving in the capacity of Acting President for and clocking 100days in office at any given stretch. This is even as an incumbent President has continued to breach the Constitution he swore to protect and defend. The breaching of the legal and policy frameworks by PMB, ironically or advisedly, are best interrogated or discussed within the notion of political correctness. Hence, the

Cabal has recruited and manipulated major stakeholders in publicly declaring there are no breaches while they privately muse on the breaches.

Meanwhile, the “push and pull factors” in public domain are indicative of high-level and cobweb-wired conspiratorial politicking and communication strategy, terse, opaque information management and intrigues associated with the health status of PMB, the 2015 elected and sworn-in President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. The current dynamics inherently exhibit elements of well-articulated and choreographed domestic and international conspiracies that the “PMB Presidential Personality

Cult (PMB-PPC)”, The Cabal, largely coordinates. In other words, as it is today, in Nigeria we actually are dealing with layers of thick webs of conspiracies involving individuals, groups, governments, multinationals and others. Thus, proving Professor George Obiozor right again, in his asserting that politics is series of successive conspiracies in which the last outwits others before it.

GOAL

The goal of this article is to contribute to the strengthening and deepening of our democratic ethos and practice through the neutral, objective and unbiased correlation of ALL Nigerian legal and policy frameworks in the correct interpretation of any constitutional provisions without political prejudices.

MOTIVATION

The motivation for this full-blown article emanates from the desire to document for posterity the seeming alternate view(s) that may currently be contrary to the politically correct views on the subject matter. That is, in contribution towards a political paradigm shift, the appropriate review and/or recodification of extant legal and policy frameworks on the subject matter. This motivational clarification has become necessary after my statement on determining the health status of President M. Buhari dated Monday, June 26, 2017 that some media platforms (online and print) published. The deliberate efforts made by individuals to share the piece vide their various social media platforms remain instructive.

Since then, I have deliberately refrained from public commentary on the subject matter for the following reasons:

1. Avoid getting involved in the politicization of the discourse;

2. Observe the reactions, disposition and commentary of politico-legal actors, the APC led FGN and international community;

3. Digest and manage the feedbacks and politically motivated warnings I received;

4. Note the selective compliance and highlight other administrative procedures requiring attention and future compliance; and

5. Allow for the expiration of three months after the commencement of the medical leave.

More importantly, I was interested in testing a particular hypothesis to confirm its applicability or otherwise. The hypothesis is the Luggard Continuous Administration Scheme or Proposal. Sir F. Luggard requested running Nigeria six months from Europe and six months in (Africa) Nigeria.

Thus, I have been desirous to determine or correlate the linkages of contemporary Nigerian political history with the scheme. This is mindful that presidential aides, political associates and their politico- legal accomplices subscribe to the administration of Nigeria from anywhere under Presidents Yaradua and Buhari. It is equally to ascertain the choice of London, United Kingdom in the case of latter as opposed to Saudi Arabia under the former.

The final motivation has to do with contextualizing the published comments on the position of the

Senate of the Federal Republic of Nigeria as to the probability or otherwise of PMB breaching the

Constitution or any known law. The interest herein is underscoring that the Senate may have supported unwittingly the application of the principle of “impares sub lege” whereas they should have adopted “pari sub lege” pertaining to the 1999 Constitution (as amended) which they swore to uphold and defend in this matter. If true, the Senate and the politico-legal luminaries have now fully colluded with the Cabal to declare PMB “unus supra legem”. In other words, the notion of political correctness has to do with subverting the Constitution. Therefore, the question is “Non opus constitutionis?”

LESSON LEARNED FROM PUBLISHED PRESS STATEMENT

From the published statement on the health status of PMB dated June 26, 2017 I have learned why

Myles Monroe, of blessed memory, in a sermon I once watched noted that the ‘richest place on earth is the cemetery because of many unfulfilled dreams; ideas, notions and principles that could improve the lot of mankind are buried!’

This quote, equally credited to Les Brown, reads fully thus:

The graveyard is the richest place on earth, because it is here that you will find all the hopes and dreams that were never fulfilled, the books that were never written, the songs that were never sung, the inventions that were never shared, the cures that were never discovered, all because someone was too afraid to take the first step, keep with the problem, or determined to carry out their dream.

The Nigerian cemetery today has the remains of men (male and female) buried as envisioned authors of articles and books never written. They include proponents, who out of fear kept quiet; experienced failure of trying due to poor enabling environment; and/or because contrary forces silenced them out rightly... Interrogating national issues in Nigeria fall into this spectrum. Ordinarily, the easy way out after some of my encounters would be hibernating or keeping my perspectives on sensitive national issues restricted. At best, share ideas within few circuits because I do not have “thick elephant skin” to absorb the shocks of the negative vituperations that are often devoid of deep intellectual reflections that are not politically correct.

Equally, I have come to terms with realizing that in such seeming exclusive circuits are ‘self-seeking, self-aggrandizing and political patronage seeking’ individuals. Their stock-in-trade is taking sound bites or bylines from patriotic folks like me to go secure political appointments and/or make money.

The most annoying is that some are old men who are part of the elite structure. They are achievers of some sort and are not doing badly for their age and stage in life. Therefore, I am compelled to ask myself to what purpose are they advertising for, seeking the gain or what legacy do they intend to leave behind; additionally, after the pecuniary gain or plump appointment what next. Maybe they are the class of Nigerians the Ag. President was referring to when he claimed some are making alternate contributions because of job seeking. I weep for my beloved country.

As for me, I have never been involved in partisan politics. I therefore find it difficult to cope with the misconceptions or misperceptions that end up labeling patriotic contributions as being politically partisan or laden with nepotism. Equally, I find it difficult seeking to be “politically correct” because of filthy lucre. Truth remains truth - declaring it as such for now and posterity my watchword.

Let it be clear that my contribution, as a patriotic Nigerian, is a commitment to strengthening and deepening our nascent democracy. The expressed alternate positions has benefited from utilizing the principles of “Appreciative Inquiry” reflective of thinking outside the box in the face of men who are seeking political correctness. It is being mindful of the need to set the records straight and communicate using relevant normative underpinning and framing to interrogate Nigerian discourses within theoretical and empirically researched perspectives; articulating our views within legal and policy dimensions without prejudice even as we project into the Nigerian political space.

CONTEXTUALIZING PMB HEALTH STATUS

Unfortunately, many commentaries and reactions concerning the Health Status of the incumbent

Nigerian President, Muhammadu Buhari GCFR, do not reflect structured perspectives. They are predominantly emotional, sentimental and political in orientation. We have equally observed that serious minded analysts and commentators interested in highlighting deep issues are hardly able to bring unto the fore some salient facts because of limited space and time when given an opportunity, if ever.

In setting the tone for contextualizing the PMB Health Status, the following assumptions are clear:

a. The man PMB is a mortal born of woman that is subject to natural human frailties.

b. PMB has had the best of patriotic opportunities for social mobility, successful career life of  public service to Nigeria; first as a military officer rising to the enviable rank of General. He served the country as military Head of State December 31, 1983 – August 27, 1985. The positive impact of his role as Chairman, Petroleum Trust Fund abound.

c. PMB is personally committed to rule of law. His sojourn as a converted democrat until now had contributed immensely to the observance of rule of law; pursuing the legal option and contributing to election jurisprudence in Nigeria by seeking redress for challenged presidential elections in 2003, 2007 and 2011.

Regarding assumption (a), the Nigerian administrative and governance structural systems supported by existing legal and policy frameworks consciously, in recognition of the mortality of public officers, in the spirit of the essence of government being “the welfare and security” of citizens, have adequate provisions for the health and medical wellbeing of public officers. In the case of the President, it has provided for the employment of a retinue of medical personnel under the leadership of the Chief

Physician to the President.

Assumption (b) provides us an opportunity to attest that PMB is hardworking and worthy of his attained profile of integrity. The third assumption (c) supported by the high index of legal practitioners in the Executive Council of the Federation with him attest to the personal commitment to the strict observance of rule of law! The choice of picking consecutively legal practitioners as running mates indicates that he would always seek to operate within legality. Any aberration to this perception, in my view, is the handiwork of the members of the PMB-PPC, the Cabal!

The Cabal is complicating issues. They are, allegedly, behind some of the myriad of issues concurrently besieging, if not overwhelming, the Nigerian-state in what some analysts have tagged

“Statecraft Psychological Operations”. This is to the extent that that any patriotic individual seeking to objectively interrogate and/or engage any discussion(s) pertaining to the Health Status of PMB as a serving President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria may end up unwittingly in the web of other contending issues.

However, the seeming scratching of the surface by stakeholders and analysts, because of political correctness, have continued to embolden the Cabal with attendant negative consequences on our polity, the effective sustenance of the country as a united entity and the deepening of Nigeria’s nascent democracy, if she does survive.

The role of the Cabal rather than support the incumbent, President Buhari, it is fast diminishing him in peoples’ perception within the country (contrary to the ongoing stage-managed pro-Buhari protests and campaigns by them) and at the international level the CNN and BBC have started broadcasting materials questioning and challenging the integrity of the quintessential general.

In this article, by focusing on some obscure legal and policy frameworks with which patriots can mirror or reflect on the subject of determining of the health status of a serving President,

Commander-in-Chief in Nigeria; it is hoped that discussions and engagement of attendant issues shall translate to putting Nigeria first!

President Buhari left Nigeria in January 2017 it was initially for a 10-days’ Vacation. To the naïve, there was no big deal converting the vacation to Medical Leave since there were statutory correspondences that duly informed the National Assembly, which is, further pursuant of Section 145 of the 1999 Constitution, as amended. The scoping of the responsibilities and schedules of the Vice-

President, Professor Yemi Osinbajo GCON, as Acting President then (January 19 – March 10, 2017) led to the reinvigoration of the PMB led administration. As such, the absence of PMB did not adversely affect the effectiveness and efficiency of governance services delivery. The occupation of national political spaces by the Acting President, according to some media commentaries, social and conventional was the best thing that have happened to the PMB administration.

The media narratives and spins concerning the status of the president’s health during January 19 –

March 10, 2017 period is not of my concern in this article other than to use it to underscore that the

Cabal learnt some feedback lessons. They did! They are very smart and witty! However, they can never outsmart patriotic Nigerians who stick to the sociopolitical, legal and policy frameworks. The

All Progressive Congress (APC) led Federal Government of Nigeria remains the first government that has chosen to operate with the highest levels of “Prescriptive Programming Agenda”. The choices of having many legal luminaries in the Cabinet and enlisting of the support of hitherto active civil society and prodemocracy actors (individuals and groups) have helped them significantly.

They (APC and PMB) have succeeded in outwitting and/or surpassing President Ibrahim B.

Babangida’s famed “Maradonian styled leadership of the Machiavellian School”. The PMB Presidency

IBB Presidency have displayed unique capacities of engaging multiple scholars, professionals and civil society actors in the development of “collaborative antitheses for synthetic maneuvering” of schema that favors global concerns, the multiple Nigerian elites with an aura of populism even though there may be negative consequences on the larger populace. The number of professors and ex-this, ex-that that are functioning around and for the system, the reported existence of strategic media consulting teams and a number of social media intervention centers and actors further attests to this fact. There equally exist strong linkages with the international community because of the seeming subscription to globalists’ ideals and strong desires of seeking to please the international community – who equally must manage the Nigerian House of Cards from catastrophic falling with multidimensional regional and global consequences. This is not to mention the pool of legal luminaries assigned for special interests litigations.

It is now over one hundred days since PMB left the shores of Nigeria, May 7 or thereabout, purportedly for the United Kingdom (UK) on Medical Leave. That is, after he returned to Nigeria only in March after seven weeks’ treatment in the same UK. Before his May departure, PMB operated from the residence, and skipped several cabinet meetings or delegated others to handle the few public engagements, that is, as reported in the media.

The current will be his fourth stay for medical treatment in the UK since he assumed office in 2015. It is noteworthy that contrary to the media spins during his January – March 2017 absence, the fragile- looking President Muhammadu Buhari told the nation he had never felt “so sick”, but was gradually recovering. Until now, there have been no official statements concerning the status, nature and character of his health. This disturbing trend has made the media and commentators to label his health challenge “mysterious illness”, “a health saga” or sarcastically as “hale and hearty” in tandem with the statements from public officials.

The health challenges of PMB have sapped his presidency of strength and direction into the second half of the APC led administration’s first term. Whereas, when he returned to Abuja from London in

March this year, as a confidence building measure he reaffirmed his confidence and willingness to allow the statutory Vice-President to continue in acting capacity stating that there was “no cause for worry” and that the country was safely in the hands of Prof. Yemi Osinbajo GCON. Within first two days, members of the PMB-PPC moderated his position and commenced full-blown Cabal conspiratorial rule to the extent that they organized syndicated “private audiences” for some highly placed public officials who only emerged after a while, about an hour, to brief the media of their interactions with the President, Commander-in-Chief. Some of these officers included the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Mr. Godwin Emiefule and the Chief of Defence Staff, General Olonisakin. Amongst others were other Service Chiefs, Director-General of State Security

Services...the truth of what transpired in reality will remain shrouded in utmost secrecy because these are public officials bound by and with the “highest levels” the oaths of state secrecy!

The reign of the Cabal, have their imprimatur come upon PMB’s presidential correspondences to the

NASS when departing in May. It contained a strange phrase, which noted that the Vice-President will “coordinate” the nation’s affairs while he is abroad for medical treatment. Senator Mao Ohabunwa, a Peoples’ Democratic Party representing Abia North, raised objections on the choice of language and the use of the phrase “coordinator” of the nation’s affairs. The presiding officer of the Senate,

Dr. Bukola Saraki, successfully ruled Senator Mao Ohabunwa out of order because of the quick intervention by a constitutional citation from the Senate Leader, Ahmed Lawan i.e. Section 145 of the

1999 Constitution that says:

Whenever the President transmits to the President of the Senate and the Speaker of the

House of Representatives a written declaration that he is proceeding on vacation or that he is otherwise unable to discharge the functions of his office, until he transmits to them a written declaration to the contrary such functions shall be discharged by the Vice-President as Acting President.

According to an investigative journalistic report from Sahara Reporters:

President Buhari’s Chief of Staff, Abba Kyari, has been named as the architect of the president’s controversial letter to the National Assembly informing legislators that Vice

President Yemi Osinbajo was to be the “coordinator” of government activities during Mr. Buhari’s latest trip to Britain to undergo urgent medical care. The phrasing of the letter, a departure from President Buhari’s previous ones where Mr. Osinbajo was explicitly named

“Acting President,” has generated widespread discussion and a measure of political tension within Nigeria.

Several high-ranking sources at the Presidency confirmed to Sahara Reporters that the decision to use the phrase, “the Vice President will coordinate the activities of the

Government,” instead of expressing what the Constitution stipulates, that the Vice President becomes “Acting President” with the transmission of the letter, was singularly taken by Mr. Kyari.

Our Presidency sources added that they were not even certain that Mr. Abba Kyari bothered to seek the opinion of the Attorney General, Abubakar Malami, before drafting the much-discussed memo to the National Assembly. However, the sources said President Buhari had in the past insisted that the Attorney General should at all times be informed about such important constitutional communication between him and the National Assembly.

 

One source said Mr. Buhari was irate on learning about the political fallout from the ill-motivated decision to alter the usual content of his letter to the National Assembly. “Abba Kyari has some explanation to make to the President who was completely taken by surprise, “said one source. The source asserted that the President signed the letter on Sunday, after a quick glance, with the understanding that the letter was couched the same way as the previous letter he signed when he went on an extended medical leave last January. “I can assure you that he never knew of the ridiculous insertion of the word ‘coordinating’ in his letter,” said the source.

Our intention herein is not to dabble into the veracity of the claims by Sahara Reporters or otherwise. The rationale of quoting extensively from the report is to underscore that this same medium has hitherto been a veritable source of credible information from the APC led Presidency. It is a further confirmation that the PMB-PPC exists and may be having cracks as equally evidenced by the suspension of Engineer Babachir David Lawal as Secretary to the Government of the Federation may. The inability of some of close members of the cult to access PMB before his May departure is equally of relevance to any patriot.

ADMINISTRATIVE ISSUES EMANATING FROM COMPLIANCE WITH SECTION 145 OF 1999

CONSTITUTION

The fact that PMB, pursuant to Section 145 of the 1999 Constitution (as amended) transmitted letters to the NASS in order to translate the incumbent Vice-President into Acting President is not in doubt. However, within the prevailing extant administrative rules of procedures there are consequential responsibilities. They include that of formal Handing Over. The President proceeding on leave must prepare formal Handing over Notes in triplicate. The responsibility entails the preparation of two versions, that is, the Open and Secret. The President and Vice-President would keep a set of each and the third under strict confidential cover of need-to-know, lodged with the Senate President as the Chairman of NASS, the Legislature, statutorily empowered with oversight responsibilities on the Executive.

Query: Do we have any formal handing over notes in place covering the two periods of January -

March and May till date? In March, upon PMB’s return, did the President and Vice-President Comply with the extant administrative procedures of formal handing over? If the handing over notes existed, we wonder about the delays experienced in swearing in of Senate cleared Ministers or the Resident

Electoral Commissioners (RECs). The delayed deployment of these appointees equally begs for a clarification on the existence of the handing over notes.

Other issues that have continued to crop up since the commencement of PMB’s Medical Leave with consequences under extant administrative procedures, legal and policy frameworks include:

a. Tenure of Acting Appointment

The Nigerian Public Service system recognizes acting appointments as procedural opportunity made only to fill the posts that are temporarily vacant for a defined (limited) duration. The intention is not to use it as a means of testing the suitability of officers for promotion. It must have clear commencement and terminal/cessation dates. Concerning the President, that is why the commencement date starts with the receipt and reading on the floor of NASS the letter pursuant to Section 145. The NASS statutorily must cause the letter to be published in the appropriate records of the legislature – the order paper and records of proceedings and mansard. The cessation date envisaged by the 1999 Constitution for Acting

Presidency as per Section 146 (2) is three (3) months. This provision serves us with an insight that the spirit that guided the letters of the law as crafted by the legal draughtsman did set a limitation as per the principle of predetermined cessation period for acting as President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. Technically, therefore, even though the stated terminal date only envisaged that the only protracted time the Office of the President would experience such a dilemma was if both the President and Vice-President were both not available for any reason and it is the President of Senate that would occupy as Acting President. It is our humble submission that the position of the legal and policy frameworks, ordinarily without any political motif, is that none should serve in acting capacity beyond 90days. As such, by the Cabal’s deliberate “evertentes lege” we already have in place “aut anilis inducatur ac principiis legis” of Section 146 (2) that probably would have led to exploring the viability of holding a replacement election since the Cabal appears uninterested in having the Vice-

President become a substantive President.

 

b. Medical Board and Disclosure of Ailment

Within the confines of the Public Service Rules a Medical Board reviewing of any public officer’s case is not negative in orientation as partisan political actors are quick to construe from Section 144 of the 1999 Constitution (as amended). A medical board as designed is an objective way of ensuring that no public servant is subjectively relieved of his/her appointment. It is strictly for obligatory disclosure of status. We must remember that Section

15(2) of the Constitution clearly prohibits discrimination on grounds of “status” – including health status. Hence, the Health Policy, the HIV/AIDs Policy amongst others stipulate that no

Nigerian should experience discrimination because of health status. Thus, the task of a medical board is not to achieve a discriminatory outcome. It is primarily to help the Nigerian- state provide the obligatory responsibility of “security and welfare (as) the primary purpose of government...towards the individual for continued participation in government”. See Section 14(2)(b)and (c). This is because “the sanctity of the human person shall be recognized and human dignity shall be maintained and enhanced” since “governmental acts shall be humane”; particularly by ensuring that “conditions of work are just and humane (with) the health, safety and welfare of all persons in employment are safeguarded or abused”.

Furthermore, the Nigerian-state shall ensure the existence of “adequate medical and health facilities for all persons”. See Section 17(2)(b),(c) and (3)(b),(c) and (d).

The consequential query from this administrative legal and policy framework has more to do with the determination of the existence of adequate medical and health facilities for all persons if Mr. President does not have in the country! May we therefore implore the

Ministers in the Health Ministry and the NASS Committees on Health to do the needful? I refuse to join in the controversy of the budgetary allocations to the State House Clinic that has not met the needs of the principal officer of the State House system, PMB.

c. Phone Conversation as Valid Official Communication

The poorly managed media spins of “purported or alleged” phone conversations with PMB created more controversies and tensions than allaying the fears of Nigerians, particularly the pundits. As a matter of fact, and in order to set the records straight, we submit that telephone conversations are valid means of official communication recognized by administrative procedures of the Federal Government of Nigeria. The legal and policy frameworks only stipulates that (i) correct notes of telephone conversations shall be kept; and (ii) records of phone communications kept in the appropriate Logs and Files. Implicitly, we hope that the concerned officers are doing their due diligence in this regards in both the

State House Complex (Villa) and the Abuja House in London. We want to assume that the concerned public officers prepared appropriate Memos sequel to the phone conversations referencing the specific Log Identification (LogId). The officers that will need to come clean on this framework include the Presidential Media Team. The State Chief of Protocol (SCoP), the Aide de Camp (ADC), Chief Security Officer (CSO) and the Personal Assistants in Abuja

House, London should take note. d. Chief Physician to the President and Records Keeping

The duties of this officer apart from being responsible for coordinating teams of experts in providing medical care and access to healthcare facilities for his principal the president include ensuring adequate records keeping and issuing of appropriate medical certificates and bulletins on the authorized treatments received by any Mr. President being served. It is hoped that the serving Chief Physician has all his records intact because of the need to submit his stewardship accountability reports to the Chief of Staff to the President, if he has not been doing so periodically.

We can only extrapolate that previous Chief Physicians to Heads of State and Presidents in

Nigeria may have denied the Nigerian-state an opportunity to learn from the wealth of experiences acquired in the management of previous heads of state and presidents, if there is no protocol for presidential medical care or library of records on their tenures. For example, restricting ourselves to the Chief Physicians, that served Generals Murtala Mohammed and Sani Abacha and/or President Yaradua who died in office. Did they generate? Reports to appropriate authorities? Did they face Peer Review Boards and/or Closed?

Investigation Panels to reflect upon the circumstances of the medical conditions and death of their principals in office? The reports from such should have served as veritable sources of materials to develop robustly effective Standard Operating Procedures for caring for any serving President in Nigeria.

The Nigerian Medical Association (NMA) and the regulatory entity Nigerian Medical and

Dental Council (NMDC) have roles to play in contributing to our having in place effective and efficient healthcare services for the President of Nigeria in country. We implore the Chief

Physician convoke a forum to review or develop required instruments for the effective performance of the statutory responsibilities of catering for the medical needs of any serving

Mr. President. The forum should include all his living predecessors, in collaboration with the

Chief of Staff to the President, Office of National Security Adviser, the State House Clinic, the

NMA and NMDC

e. Retention of Presidential Aircraft in London

We assume that the Commander of the Presidential Air Fleet has satisfactory justification, authorization and approvals for keeping a national security asset such as the principal presidential plane out the way we have had it so far. While it is acknowledged that the

United Kingdom is a very strong ally of Nigeria, in this days of global terrorism we hope that the arranged security cover for the aircraft where parked is adequate and under round the clock close watch by Nigerian and British security officials.

f. Duty Tour Reports and Feedbacks by Accompanying Officers

The prevailing administrative procedures stipulate that all officers who have accompanied the President be bound to submit reports periodically. I hope that they are. The detailed report upon the return of Mr. President should help the Chief of Staff to the President and Secretary to the Government of the Federation in the preparation of appropriate reviews to existing frameworks in handling and caring for any President. Some of these officers by the requirements of the principal agencies or services they belong may comply with additional extant rules and regulations of reporting and feedbacks.

g. Visitation Reports by Public Officers

The prevailing administrative procedures stipulate that all public officers who have had course to travel at the expense of the Federal Government of Nigeria to London to visit PMB should submit reports to appropriate authorities. I do hope that they have been doing upon return to Nigeria. For example, the Acting President should have done his to the NASS; the

State Governors and Ministers should have to the Acting President and the Secretary to the

Government of the Federation. Democracy is all about stewardship accountability.

POLITICIZING PMB’s HEALTH STATUS

The politicized medical profiling of General Muhammadu Buhari came to the fore as part of the highly tensed electioneering campaigns ahead of the 2015 Presidential Elections. The campaign structures of some APC presidential aspirants fired the first set of salvos in Q3 of 2014 under the guise of questioning his age as a septuagenarian. The PDP later escalated the discourse and it became an issue of national significance. Thus, after being sworn-in as the President, Commander-in-

Chief on May 29, 2015 as a mere mortal, PMB started spotting noticeable medical challenges; the health status of the retired General became a subject of high-stake politicking concern predominantly because of the observed attitudinal disposition of some presidential aides’ vis-à-vis the politics of constitutional succession. Thus, the availability or otherwise of the PMB in the office and at public events became sources of suspicion and concerns. Thus, explaining the nature and character of partisan politics that have to date emanated from within the Presidency and in all extra-

Presidency relations with NASS and the Judiciary. The relational dynamics spot ethno-religious coloration because of the envisaged and probable constitutional succession; contributing to the political tensions in the country.

To the discerning, it is clear that the “PMB Presidential Personality Cult (PMB-PPC)”, a.k.a. cabal, took pains studying the constitutional provisions on presidential succession and prepared strategic plus tactical plans on how to mitigate the losses that may emanate from the ill-health, probable medical incapacitation or death of PMB. They (members of the PMB-PPC) have stuck to the strict implementation of their plans with proactive programmatic management styles with robust monitoring and evaluation (M&E) components and viable responses feedback management.

According to the observers using this framework of analysis we can appreciate that the pendulum of political actions and inactions swing at the dictates or in reaction to the manipulations of the PMB-PPC!

 

Let us look at some of the components of the strategic and tactical plans of the PMB-PPC. They include but not limited to:

 Lopsided appointments: political offices, military, security and law enforcement agencies

 Deliberate mismanagement of the Nomadic Herdsmen Security Concerns

 Displeasure at the emergence of Senator Bukola Saraki as President of the Senate of the

Federal Republic

 Blocking of the emergence of Honorable Femi Gbajabiamila as Speaker of the House of

Representatives

 Clampdown on the Judiciary

Macabre dance on the appointment and confirmation of ACP Ibrahim Magu as Chairman of

EFCC

 Sensationalized media prosecution of the anticorruption crusade

 Delayed swearing-in of Senate confirmed Ministerial nominees

 Exclusion of two Senate confirmed nominees for the vacant Resident Electoral

Commissioners (RECs) slots

There are more, like the “Osbornegate” leading to the suspension of Ambassador Ayo Oke as the

Director-General of the National Intelligence Agency. Another being that of “Grasscuttergate” that culminated in the suspension of Engineer Babachir David Lawal as the Secretary to the Government of the Federation.

I will leave these issues for now to concentrate on the sociopolitical dynamics that have some form of direct relevance to succession politics. I will equally not dabble into interrogating the widely reported Mina Meeting of three Nigerians of international repute and domestic political net worth in the Nigerian project that on social media Nigerians and commentators call the “Board of the Nigerian Project”, the “Landlords of Nigeria” and the “Facilitators or Undertakers of Nigeria”. Equally, they are the Doyen, Prefects and Provosts of the Class of 66. They are Generals Olusegun Obasanjo,

Ibrahim B. Babangida and Abdulsalam Abubakar all with the national honors of Grand Commander of the Federal Republic. The fact that they met is instructive. The fact that two wedding ceremonies took place in Mina and Kaduna with the interlocutors of the Nigerian project about the early days of the departure of PMB for this fourth round of medical tourism remains instructively relevant. The media revelations that some members of the Class of 66 and their national and international interlocutors/collaborators are already shopping and proposing some individuals remain instructive.

PMB-PPC POLITICS OF COMPROMISING CONSTITUTIONAL SUCCESSION

The preemptive forward thinking and actions in the cabal politics of the PMB-PPC compromising of constitutional succession started even before the administration had settled down. It is that of the travails of Senator (Dr.) Bukola Saraki before the Code of Conduct Tribunal, according to a school of thought in political circles, has correlations with elements of the cabal politics surrounding the health status of PMB.

The school of thought is convinced that Senator Bukola Saraki became a target because of his constitutional role as President of the Senate of the Federal Republic. Whereas, most political actors will hardly acknowledge publicly that they have discerned as much for fears of incurring the wrath of the cabal surrounding the presidency. They insinuate this position because of what they perceive as the probable existence of a scheme to activate Section 146 (2) of the Constitution. That is, the provision allowing that “the President of the Senate shall hold the Office of the President for a period not more than three months, during which there shall be an election of a new President who shall hold office for the unexpired term of office of the last holder of the office”. When asked about

Section 146 (1) that has clearly provided for the Vice-President of the Federal Republic to assume the role of constitutional President since they came into government on a joint ticket the reactions had always been anything is possible in Nigeria. The options that easily come out include (i) the Class of

66 Option – another military intervention; (ii) Compelled (or activated) Resignation of the incumbent

Vice-President; and (iii) the Kidnap or Political Abduction of incumbent Vice-President.

The case for Option (i) became highly probable Q1 and Q2 of 2017 with “suspicious” military deployments, diverse military operations commenced Q3 of 2016 and some redeployments or postings within the armed forces. Thus, when the Chief of Army Staff and some other top military commanders started debunking and allaying fears concerning the probability of a coup occurring many just felt it was a confirmation that there was no smoke without a fire. Especially when the statement from General Buratai was specific in cautioning political actors from approaching the military for acts of political maneuvers. The caveat emptor expressed by the international community, stating oppositions against any military intervention in Nigerian governance and political systems further confirmed the high probability of the scenario playing out.

The disclosures in Mallam Nasir El-Rufai’s Accidental Public Servant and Pastor Tunde Bakare’s interview on YouTube concerning the dynamics around the latter’s candidature as the Vice-

Presidential Candidate with PMB for the 2011 Presidential Election on the platform of CPC indicates the probability of and likely existence of the instruments for Option (ii). Political Analysts have continued to insinuate that the existence of the instrument for this option explains some actions and inactions, political gaffe comments even in the face of syndicated political attacks to diminish the authority of the incumbent Vice-President, Professor Yemi Osinbajo. The last Presidential correspondence by PMB to the NASS by PMB before his publicized departure for further treatment on highpoint of the speculations in this regard.

What many Nigerians, political actors, media operators, commentators and analysts failed to realize was that the APC / PMB Corpsocrators succeeded in implementing a program and acting a script! The script was within the legal and policy frameworks. PMB returned into Nigeria on the 49th day after the Medical Leave commenced in order to avoid the applications of relevant extant rules and regulations. The current political developments in the country, particularly the ejection notice by Arewa Youths is another in the series of the PMB led FGN’s predictive programming.

Furthermore, the series of meetings by the Acting President Yemi Osinbajo with Elders, Religious and

Traditional Leaders from the various geopolitical groups are valid components of the script playing out. The now scheduled meeting of the Acting President with ALL the Governors of the Federation is still part of the desire and resolve to comply with the provisions of the relevant extant rules and regulations, terse, the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, as amended. The meeting with the thirty-six Governors will coincide with the need to consult on the application, not just applicability, of relevant policy frameworks on the absence of an incumbent President beyond the days stipulated for Medical Leave.

What are the relevant extant rules and regulations under reference here? What is the significance of the rules pertaining to Medical Leaves in the determination of a President’s Health Status? I intend to address these queries in the following section.

PROCEDURAL DETERMINATION OF PRESIDENTIAL HEALTH STATUS

The discussions with many political actors, scholars, media practitioners and analysts indicate that there is a dearth of knowledge and understanding on the existence and weak capacity in connecting the dots required in the application of existing legal and policy frameworks. The majority are convinced that the only applicable law is that which is contained in Section 144 of the 1999

Constitution, as amended. Painfully, there are other procedural legal and policy frameworks applicable. Herein, I shall concentrate only on the contents of the PUBLIC SERVICE RULES (2008).

Each time I have raised the relevance of this document and applicability to the determination of the health status of a President many, erroneously, often shout me down. Hitherto, I had taken the pains of keeping quiet waiting for this kind of moment when it will be clear that as a patriot I know what am talking about.

President Umaru Yaradua in 2008 signed-off for enforcement, implementation and application the

Public Service Rules, terse, the Administrative Rules of Procedures that is currently in force. In the

Foreword, he urged “all Public Servants to acquaint themselves with these Rules and Regulations as well as other extant laws for effective Public Service administration and to ensure their application in a manner that would enhance the smooth functioning of the Public Service”. For the avoidance of doubts, it is published as Federal Republic of Nigeria Official Gazette No. 57, Abuja - 25th August,

2009 Vol. 96. That is, Government Notice No. 278.

Section 01010 1 emphasizes the applicability of the document to the President as a Public Officer! In part, it reads thus:

These Public Service Rules apply to all officers except where they conflict with specific terms approved by the Federal Government and written into the contract of employment or letters of appointment. In so far as the holders of the offices of: The President; The Vice

President; Chief Justice of Nigeria; Justices of the Supreme Court..... And any other similar organs that derive their appointments from the Constitution of the Federal Republic of

Nigeria are concerned, these Rules apply only to the extent that they are not inconsistent with the provisions of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in so far as their conditions of service and any other law applicable to these officers are concerned.

 

To all intents and purposes therefore, the Public Service Rules, contrary to pundits and the socio- politically naïve or legal novices/mischief-makers, are glaringly applicable to the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. It does not in any way conflict with the Constitution. It only further reinforces, as procedures precedent, for compliance in activating the provisions of Section 144 of the Constitution.

Chapter Seven (7) of the PSR treated exhaustively issues pertaining to the Medicals of all publicOfficers. It provided for procedures, benefits and sanctions. I have listened to Honorable Minister Lai

Mohammed address the media on the health status of PMB stating that the cost of medicals incurred by PMB was of no concern to the country and I laughed, shook my head and wept for Nigeria. On that occasion, he spoke as if the PSR did not apply to the President. Unless this public official is deliberately playing to the gallery as someone struggling to keep his appointment or please the PMB-

PPC then am afraid we have truly lost it! This chapter explains why the Nigerian-state has had to cover the cost of PMB’s travel, treatment and upkeep, the deployment of the Presidential Aircraft, personal aides (security and support) while in the course of medical leave. The chapter provides the base for catering for the travels of the spouse of the President, amongst others. I do not intend to concentrate on the disinformation or the attempt to coerce Nigerians from seeking stewardship accountability in this article. My concern is strictly on the applicability of the Public Service Rules in the activation of Constitutional Provision contained in Section 144.

It is my considered opinion that the Nigerian Public Service Rules, as per appearing before a Medical

 

Board, is applicable in the determination of the health status of any Nigerian President or Vice-

President! They are public officers and subjects of the extant rules and regulations to the extent that such are not in clash with the provisions of the 1999 Constitution. The applicable rule is procedurally relevant and applicable and emphatically more beneficial to the person of the incumbent than the narrow (sanction laden) interpretation of Section 144.

The applicable rule has become necessary because of the protracted absence of the public servant (officer) concerned! The public officer has now been away for about one hundred calendar days at a stretch excluding the fifty-seven during the January – March period. The public officer during Q1 of

2017 was away for a total of fifty-seven days, ten of those days was covered by vacation or annual leave (?). At least to the best of my knowledge, a public officer as a creation of law is subject to the appropriate laws of the land. That is, cumulatively he is about one hundred and sixty days away from

Nigeria this year, unless the request of His Lordship, Sir Fredrick Luggard in the management of

Nigeria by spending half his time in Nigeria and the other half in London at the Colonial Office has now become applicable!

RELEVANT PUBLIC SERVICE RULES ON MEDICAL LEAVE

In deference to PSR 070301, President Buhari, as a law-abiding citizen, has thus far complied with

PSR provisions, as a public “officer is ill and unable to report for duty” and has procedurally “in writing or by any other means of communication” informed the appropriate authority, the NASS of his “prolonged absence from duty on ground of illness”. In his last correspondence to the NASS, he noted that his doctors would determine the duration of his stay on Medical Leave. This is still in order pending the provision of appropriate certificates provided for by this rule. We really appreciate and commend President Buhari; urging him to continue even as we plead with members of the PMB-PPC to deactivate anything that may discourage his continued compliance.

We equally commend the NASS, which is, the Senate and House of Representatives, for stabilizing the polity by approving the Medical Leave pursuant to PSR 070314 as the proper authority and properly designating and authorizing the Acting President status for Vice-President Osinbajo.

We are however concerned on the interpretation of PSR 070316 –

(i) The maximum aggregate sick leave which can be allowed an officer, who is not hospitalized, during any period of twelve months shall be forty-two (42) calendar days.

Where such an officer has been absent from duty on the ground of ill-health for an aggregate

period in excess of forty-two (42) calendar days within twelve calendar months, the officer should be made to appear before a Medical Board with a view to ascertain whether he/she should be invalidated from service. Any period of absence on ground of ill-health in excess of the prescribed aggregate will be without pay and will not be reckoned for purpose of increment for pension.

(ii) An officer who is incapacitated as a result of injury sustained in the course of his official duties shall be entitled to draw full emolument until he/she is discharged from sick leave or permanently invalidated.

President Buhari has now been away from work for longer that forty-two calendar days at this stretch again. This would be the second time this year. From a simple logical reading of this rule, as a public officer, President Buhari is now due for Medical Review by a properly constituted Medical

Board! That is as provided for in Section 144 (1) (b) and (4) of the 1999 Constitution as amended.

The interesting twist here is the provision of Section 144 (1) that expects the Executive Council of the

Federation to “by a resolution passed by two-thirds majority of all members...declare that the

President...is incapable of discharging the functions of his office”. Such a “declaration is verified, after such medical examination as may be necessary, by a medical panel established under subsection

(4)”. Meaning “appointed by the President of the Senate”.

 

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I must quickly point out of the existence of PSR 070317 and 070318. The former deals with the situation where the medical board or healthcare provider as a matter of professional integrity permanently invalidates a public officer. The latter rule indicates that “Sick leave for a period up to three months in the first Sick leave instance may be allowed on the certificate of an approved

HealthCare rules...If at the end of that period the officer is still hospitalized” the appropriate supervisory authority “must make an arrangement for him to be examined by a Medical Board with a view to ascertaining whether he should be invalidated from the service or allowed further paid sick leave.”

The applicable PSR rules have major posers! They include:

 Has the Chief Personal Physician to the President, who definitely must be a high-ranking member of the PMB-PPC, submitted any Medical Reports, Certificates as expected by law?

 Will the Medical Team attending to PMB be honorable enough, for professional integrity, to make the required call should his health condition warrant it?

Will PMB-PPC, the Cabal, their domestic and international interlocutors allow for the declaration?

LUGGARD CONTINUOUS ADMINISTRATION SCHEME

The genesis of the Presidency notion that a Nigerian President can function from anywhere in the world, particularly London, United Kingdom are poor students of the sociopolitical history of Nigeria.

The continued replication of this notion as was the case during the Yaradua health saga originated from His Lordship, Sir Fredrick Luggard prelude to the Amalgamation of Nigeria. To some of my close friends reading this piece am sure they will say there he goes again Nigeria’s current challenges must be traced back to the politics and dynamics of the Amalgamation. Yes, the amalgamation for me remains foundational challenge of this country! In order to avoid misrepresentation, I intend to lift extensively from pages 92 – 93 of John M. Carland’s book The Colonial Office and Nigeria (1898 -

 

1914). It is available for online reading through this link https://books.google.com.ng/books?id=lDFEOHnOl-

0C&pg=PA85&lpg=PA85&dq=amalgamation%20of%20nigeria&source=bl&ots=L-

IqPng3Oz&sig=CcFNdHYGJguygz3okpAecKy4fZI&hl=en&sa=X&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q=amalgamation%20of%20nigeria&f=false

The Luggard Continuous Administration Scheme or proposal “would require the Governor to spend half of each year working in Africa, the other half in England. The Governor will be on duty and not on leave while in England. He would work in the Colonial Office, and have direct access to the

Secretary of State. Wherever he was, the Governor would be the working head of his colonial administration. Continuity would be assured. All correspondence with the Secretary of State would be handled by him; all legislation would be submitted to him, as well as budgets and annual accounts. He would interview private interest groups and present if they sent a deputation to the

Secretary of State... The crucial aspect of his plan, however, was the idea of a Governor doing the work of the permanent officials at the Colonial Office, and at the same time beyond their supervision. The officials understandably took exception to this. Ommaney described any attempt to administer a colony from London as ‘the one rank heresy we all shudder at'.”

The key elements of the Luggard Continuous Scheme are:

Spend half of the year away from Nigeria without any negative consequences, repercussions or sanctions;

 Shall be on duty and not on leave while in England (United Kingdom);

 Shall work in the Colonial Office and since Nigeria is now independent the Nigerian Mission facility, The Abuja House, deemed an extension of Nigeria;  Wherever he remains the working head of the Nigerian administration;

  Continuity under his watch would be assured;

 All correspondences would be handled by him;

All Legislation would be submitted to him, as well as budgets and annual accounts;

 He would receive official delegations and hold court; and

 At the same time shall be beyond supervision.

I went to a secondary school in the bush where we used the bush lantern to read at night and as such not very good at drawing analogies. I can only expect readers to do their inferences as sincere patriots.

Any sincere patriot can observe that in compliance with the Luggard Continuous Administration

Scheme President Umaru Musa Yaradua allegedly treated legislations from NASS, particularly the

Supplementary Budget while hospitalized! Acting President, Professor of Law and a Senior Advocate of Nigeria, indeed Grand Commander of the Order of Niger, Oluyemi Oluleke Osinbajo could not sign the 2017 Budget until the PMB-PPC, the Cabal, authorized him. The Cabal informed Nigerians that the medically challenged and officially on Medical Leave President Buhari allegedly/purportedly sent a letter to the Honorable Minister of Budget and National Planning that the Acting President could go ahead to sign the 2017 Appropriation into law. Senior Special Assistant to the President on Media,

Garba Shehu disclosed the information that the President transmitted a letter to the said Minister who interestingly for crying aloud formerly was a ranking Senator of the Federal Republic and painfully another Senior Advocate of Nigeria! Are Nigerians so stupid and gullible? Maybe we are after all.

May I ask in what capacity has PMB has continued from Abuja House, London? How applicable are the principles of “de facto” and “de jure”?

 

 

 

CONCLUSION AND WAY FORWARD

From the foregoing, there is the need for The Presidency and NASS to empanel a Study Group on this subject matter. The proposed study group should have representatives of the Nigerian Bar Association (NBA), Nigerian Political Science Association (NPSA) and the Inter-Party Advisory Council to reflect on the Constitutional provisions pertaining to Constitutional Presidential Succession, an absentee President and the subject of Presidential Medical Leave to help encapsulate a framework for engaging similar challenges in the near future. This way we should have a systematic and structural schema for integrating existing and relevant of these legal and policy frameworks.

I pray for Divine restoration of health and wish our beloved President Muhammadu Buhari speedy recovery. I look forward to having him return to his duty post, even if not as vibrant and resolute, as he was when GOC3. I have chosen to draw attention to these issues for us to draw copious lessons from them and wish all Nigerians the very best at times like this.

 

Ayokunle FAGBEMI,

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