Friday, April 24th 2026

Nigeria’s Oil Revenue Falls 43% Despite Production Rebound


Nigeria’s Oil Revenue Falls 43% Despite Production Rebound
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Nigeria’s gross profit from crude and gas sales dropped by 43% in 2024, contributing just 8% of total oil and gas revenue, according to the Budget Office of the Federation’s Q4 2024 report.

  • Oil revenue fell from ?1.90 trillion in 2023 to ?1.08 trillion, a ?824.66 billion decline.
  • Revenue from Petroleum Profit Tax and Company Income Tax reached ?6 trillion, while royalties brought in ?6.99 trillion, nearly triple the previous year due to improved compliance and the Petroleum Industry Act.
  • Gas-flaring penalties surged 178% to ?391.26 billion, and incidental income from royalty recovery and marginal-field settlements more than doubled.
  • Exchange rate gains contributed significantly, rising to ?4.24 trillion from ?791.88 billion in 2023 following currency liberalisation.

Production and Output:

  • Crude oil production rose 12.6% to 442.21 million barrels, averaging 1.43 million barrels per day.
  • Total liquids (crude + condensates) reached 492.34 million barrels, up from 451.09 million barrels in 2023.
  • Despite these gains, output was only 80% of government projections, due to infrastructure constraints, crude theft, and underinvestment.

Net Revenue:

  • After deductions, net oil revenue stood at ?12.95 trillion, below the ?16.98 trillion budget target but substantially higher than ?4.82 trillion in 2023 — a 168.83% year-on-year increase.
  • Analysts note that the revenue growth is largely exchange-rate driven, rather than from higher crude export volumes.

Quarterly Trends:

  • Oil receipts rose from ?3.35 trillion in Q1 to ?3.91 trillion in Q4, remaining consistently below the projected average of ?4.99 trillion.

Takeaway:
While overall oil revenue appears improved due to currency effects, actual crude profits fell sharply, highlighting structural issues in the sector and the government’s increasing reliance on taxes, royalties, and incidental revenues.

 

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